Modular Basketball Game Model

Every possession tells a story. We read all of it.

Modular Basketball reads each possession as a whole — from the first decision to the final shot. Box scores count what happened. We show how it happened.

Now in beta · Selected leagues

The Model

Built on scientific thinking

The Modular Basketball Game Model treats a possession as one thing, not a list of events: a chain of connected decisions that starts long before the shot. Six years of systematic research across 983 official games shaped a language precise enough to read that chain — and an engine sharp enough to turn it into decisions.

The theory came first. Then the games were read to break it. That is why the model is still growing, and why it is a science rather than a checklist.

How the reading is done stays inside the model. What it produces — clarity — is what you see on the screen.

The score tells you who won.
The process tells you why.

What comes next is already in motion.

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Years of Research
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Official Games Analyzed
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Tags in the Model
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Foundational Paper
Research

The whole game, in one theory

Mathematical Principles of Basketball Philosophy — Sinan Kortel, 2026.

Most analysis records what happened. This work sets out to explain why. It treats basketball not as a physical contest with a scoreboard, but as a system of connected decisions and opposing strategies — and carries that one idea all the way through: from a way of seeing the game, to a principle for deciding, to a probability you can act on, to a tool your staff opens every day.

Every claim in it is built to be tested. Every number you see in the app has a chapter behind it.

Cover of Mathematical Principles of Basketball Philosophy by Sinan Kortel
  1. A language for observation

    What really happened?

    A possession is never one event. Part I maps it as a tree of possibilities — every branch the play could take — and records the one path it actually took, from the first decision to the last.

  2. The advantage principle

    Where does the edge come from?

    Games are decided long before the final score. Part II shows where a real advantage is created — and why it is rarely where people look for it.

  3. Kortel Advantage Probability

    What is a decision worth?

    The advantage, in numbers. Part III puts a probability of winning on a single decision.

  4. The tool

    How does it reach the court?

    A theory lives or dies by the tool that carries it. Part IV describes the app built around the model: from a game's film to the report and the playlist on your staff's screen.

Want to read it? Ask us — tell us about your program.

How it works

Every game, already read

In the leagues we cover, every game is read possession by possession — before you ask. Nothing to upload, nothing to tag.

01The game is played

Any game in a covered league — yours, your next opponent's, anyone's.

The league

02We read every possession

Our analysis team reads the game through the model and turns it into structured data.

Our team

03You open the numbers and the clips

Tables, playlists and reports, ready to share with your staff — with the film one click away.

Your staff
Who it's for

Built for the people who prepare the game

Anyone whose work starts with understanding the game — inside the club and around it.

Inside the club

Head coach

The game plan

A scouting read that starts from what your next opponent actually plays most — every team in your league is already read — and ends in decisions you can defend with numbers and show with clips.

Assistant coach · scouting

The next opponent

The opponent report is half written before you sit down: what they run most and how they answer each of your actions — every point with its clips.

Analyst · video coordinator

The workflow

Cutting, tagging and data entry are already done. Your day starts at the table and the playlist, not at the timeline: build the view your staff asks for, save it, and turn any cut of the data into a playlist.

Player development

The individual

How each player behaves in the moments that decide a possession — yours and everyone else's in the league — with every tendency backed by film.

Players

Their own film

Each player sees their own decisions — the ones that worked and the ones that cost — with the clip behind every number, on the phone in their pocket.

Front office · recruitment

The common language

Process, not box score, for every team and every player in the league. See how a target decides before you sign them, in the same vocabulary your coaches use.

Around the club

National teams · federations

The player pool

A consistent read on every eligible player in the leagues we cover — and on the teams you are about to face.

Academies

The next generation

One language for teaching decisions, from the youth teams to the first team.

Player agents

The case for a player

Show clubs how your player decides, not only what they score — with the numbers and the film to back it.

Media

The story behind the score

Coverage built on how a game was played, not only on who scored.

Why Modular Basketball

What nobody else gives you

PROCESS OUTCOME +2 +2

Process, not just outcome

The same efficiency number can hide two completely different teams. We tell them apart.

LAST PASS THE CHAIN

The whole chain behind the shot

Most data stops at the last pass. We keep every link that led to the shot.

DECIDED SCORED

The player behind the decision

Who made the play happen, not only who finished it. Every player is read by the decisions they make.

1.120.941.211.030.881.170.711.091.261.010.971.14

The defense's answer

What each defensive choice gives up, against each action.

HOME 78 Q4 1:12 AWAY 77

Context

Late in a close game, the same team plays differently. The numbers show how.

50% MOVE A 52% MOVE B 58%

Every move, weighed against the win

Before you commit to a move, you know what it is worth. Decisions stop being hunches and become calculated positions.

+6%

A game plan backed by data

What to do against this opponent and what each move is expected to bring — written as a plan you can defend in the staff room.

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A written read of your tables

The patterns in your tables, explained in plain language. Your staff makes the call.

FILTER ROWS COLUMNS

Tables your staff builds, saves and shares

Not fixed pages. Choose the filters, rows and columns, save the view, share it with your staff.

THEN NOW

A model that never stops evolving

Basketball keeps inventing new patterns. So does the model. Your data always speaks the game's current language.

YOUR TEAM EVERY TEAM READ

See it on your league

Early access is by application. Tell us about your program and your league.

Request early access
Sinan Kortel courtside before a game
The Founder

Sinan Kortel

Creator of the Modular Basketball Game Model

For six years, Sinan Kortel did something almost nobody has the patience for: he analyzed 983 official basketball games, possession by possession, testing and refining a single idea — that basketball is not a collection of events but a system of connected decisions.

That idea became the Modular Basketball Game Model, built on three pillars: philosophy, to ask what a possession truly is; mathematics, to measure it honestly; and falsification, to attack its own assumptions relentlessly. A framework designed not to be right, but to keep getting less wrong.

A B-licensed coach, Kortel works from the sharpest intersection there is: where deep theory meets the daily reality of the court.

FAQ

Questions we get asked

Do we need to send film or tag anything?

No. Every game in the leagues we cover is already read, possession by possession. You open the numbers and the clips.

Is our league covered?

Ask us. Coverage grows league by league; the beta is limited to selected leagues.

Is this only about our own team?

No. Every team and every player in your league is read the same way. Your next opponent is already in the data.

How is this different from the stats we already have?

Box scores count what happens at the end of a possession. We read the whole possession — and show you the clips behind every number.

Who can see our data?

Only the members you invite, with the permissions you give them. Nothing is public and nothing is shared with other teams.

How do we start?

Tell us about your program and your league through the form below. Early access is by application.

Get In Touch

See how your team performs against every possible move.

Modular Basketball is in beta, limited to selected leagues. Tell us about your program and join the early access list.

What you build stays yours. Data is visible only to the members you invite — nothing is public, nothing is shared with other teams.

Contact Us

Applying for early access or have a question? Fill in the form — your message lands directly in our inbox.

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